Calumet Specialty Products Stock Performance

CLMT Stock  USD 24.51  0.52  2.17%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Calumet Specialty holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Calumet Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Calumet Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Calumet Specialty's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Calumet Specialty's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Calumet Specialty Products are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively abnormal primary indicators, Calumet Specialty unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.54
Five Day Return
11.27
Year To Date Return
22.71
Ten Year Return
55.58
All Time Return
10.3
Last Split Factor
1:1
Dividend Date
2016-02-12
Ex Dividend Date
2016-01-29
Last Split Date
2024-07-11
1
Acquisition by Schumacher Amy M of 0 shares of Calumet Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3
11/06/2025
2
Woman shot in backyard in Chicagos Calumet Heights neighborhood
12/11/2025
3
Disposition of 50000 shares by Bruce Fleming of Calumet Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
4
Calumet City family receive special Christmas in January surprise, including toys and gifts
01/05/2026
5
Calumet Announces 350 Million Private Placement of Senior Notes due 2031 and Issues Notices of Conditional Redemption for All of the Outstanding 11.00 percent S...
01/06/2026
6
Calumet Announces Pricing of 405 Million Upsized Private Placement of 9.75 percent Senior Notes due 2031
01/07/2026
7
Does Calumets 405 Million Refinancing Shift the Balance Between Deleveraging and MaxSAF Growth for CLMT
01/13/2026
8
Calumet Stock Specialty Products Businesses Coming Together Financially - Seeking Alpha
01/15/2026
9
Should Calumets 405 Million High-Coupon Refi Shift Reshape the CLMT Debt Story
01/21/2026
10
A Look At Calumet Valuation After Asset Based Loan Extension And Balance Sheet Reshaping
01/29/2026
11
Calumet stock hits 52-week high at 23.44 USD - Investing.com
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow14.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-76.7 M

Calumet Specialty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,951  in Calumet Specialty Products on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  465.50  from holding Calumet Specialty Products or generate 23.86% return on investment over 90 days. Calumet Specialty Products is currently generating 0.3661% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7335% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Calumet, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Calumet Specialty is expected to generate 2.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Calumet Specialty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Calumet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.51 90 days 24.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calumet Specialty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calumet Specialty Products probability density function shows the probability of Calumet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Calumet Specialty has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calumet Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calumet Specialty Products will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calumet Specialty Products has an alpha of 0.3067, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calumet Specialty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calumet Specialty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calumet Specialty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5024.2325.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9924.7226.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7724.5126.24
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.6122.6525.14
Details

Calumet Specialty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calumet Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calumet Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calumet Specialty Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calumet Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Calumet Specialty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calumet Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calumet Specialty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds 2.37 B in liabilities. Calumet Specialty has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Calumet Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (222 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 390.6 M.
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds about 50.5 M in cash with (46.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Calumet stock hits 52-week high at 23.44 USD - Investing.com

Calumet Specialty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calumet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calumet Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calumet Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.1 M

Calumet Specialty Fundamentals Growth

Calumet Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Calumet Specialty, and Calumet Specialty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Calumet Stock performance.

About Calumet Specialty Performance

Assessing Calumet Specialty's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Calumet Specialty's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Calumet Specialty is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 34.55  30.82 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.10)(0.09)
Return On Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 

Things to note about Calumet Specialty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calumet Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Calumet Specialty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds 2.37 B in liabilities. Calumet Specialty has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Calumet Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (222 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 390.6 M.
Calumet Specialty Products currently holds about 50.5 M in cash with (46.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Calumet stock hits 52-week high at 23.44 USD - Investing.com
Evaluating Calumet Specialty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Calumet Specialty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Calumet Specialty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Calumet Specialty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Calumet Specialty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Calumet Specialty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Calumet Specialty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Calumet Specialty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Calumet Specialty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Calumet Specialty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Calumet Specialty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Calumet Stock Analysis

When running Calumet Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Calumet Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calumet Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Calumet Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calumet Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calumet Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calumet Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.